20 Sep 2018
US China Trade War: Scenario Modelling
- Posted by Dejan Pekic BCom DipFP CFP GAICD, Senior Financial Planner
Tariffs are a bad news because everybody loses.
This US China trade war will consume the World and like divorce it will be become about who loses the least.
The attached chart paints multiple scenarios for declining growth/GDP and rising inflation which will send financial markets (specifically stocks and bonds in this modelling) into a catastrophic meltdown.
Our take on this modelling is never speculate in advance, react only after fear and panic take hold in next financial catastrophe because investors will then be presented with the opportunity to buy more quality assets at discounted prices.
Click for chart.
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