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28 Sep 2018

Market Cycles: Peak

Difficult to see a recession in the United States in the short term when you consider the US$1.5 trillion tax cut, deregulation and ongoing deficit spending but then again the full impact of the trade war is yet to be seen.

Attached is a chart showing the key economic trading zones and their relative position in the economic cycle.

Click for chart.

It appears that they may have peaked.

If you are thinking, can the current bull run go longer? The answer is yes.

If you are thinking, will the current bull run bust? The answer is yes.

We are likely entering the late stage of the economic cycle and so remember, when fear and panic take hold during the next financial catastrophe, investors will be presented with the opportunity to buy more quality assets at discounted prices.


At Newealth we are always looking to support and promote our clients wherever possible and if you have any ideas or comments, please feel free to email me or to call me on +61 2 9267 2322.

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